Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Presidential turnout since 1972: Increased participation favors Democrats, and maybe the anti-Bush former Democrat named Donald Trump

Presidential turnout since 1972:


Average percent of the voting age population: 53%

Average percent of the voting age population when Republicans win: 53% (average)

Average percent of the voting age population when Democrats win: 54% (1 point above average)


Average percent of the registered voters: 74%

Average percent of the registered voters when Republicans win: 73.9% (0.1 point below average)

Average percent of the registered voters when Democrats win: 72.9% (1.1 points below average)


Republican wins in elections most like 2016:


Average percent of the voting age population in 1980, 1988, 2000: 51.1% (1.9 points below average)

Average percent of the registered voters in 1980, 1988, 2000: 72% (2.0 points below average)


Democrat wins in elections most like 2016:


Average percent of the voting age population in 1976, 1992, 2008: 55.7% (2.7 points above average)

Average percent of the registered voters in 1976, 1992, 2008: 76.7% (2.7 points above average)